Health Affairs Analysis: 2021-2030 National Health Expenditure Projections

A new analysis in Health Affairs projects national health expenditures in the US from 2021-2030. Although the COVID-19 pandemic has been characterized by unpredictability, the authors of the analysis expect that health care use will normalize throughout 2024. In addition, they predict that the share of gross domestic product (GDP) will decrease from nearly 20% in 2020 to 18 % by the end of 2024.

According to the authors, “For 2025–30, factors that typically drive changes in health spending and enrollment, such as economic, demographic, and health-specific factors, are again expected to primarily influence trends in the health sector. By 2030 the health spending share of GDP is projected to reach 19.6 percent.”

Read the analysis by clicking here.

(Source: Health Affairs, March 28^th, 2022)